{"id":19427,"date":"2026-09-07T16:04:19","date_gmt":"2026-09-07T06:04:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/why-we-underestimate-how-long-our-own-tasks-will-take\/"},"modified":"2026-09-07T16:04:19","modified_gmt":"2026-09-07T06:04:19","slug":"why-we-underestimate-how-long-our-own-tasks-will-take","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/why-we-underestimate-how-long-our-own-tasks-will-take\/","title":{"rendered":"\u660e\u77e5\u4e0a\u6b21\u8d85\u65f6\uff0c\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u8fd8\u4f1a\u4f4e\u4f30\u8fd9\u6b21\u6240\u9700\u65f6\u95f4\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/public-assets.geoffreychen.com\/wordpress\/articles\/why-we-underestimate-how-long-our-own-tasks-will-take\/00bb2a1195ad589327d58ef8.jpg?w=1140&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\u660e\u77e5\u4e0a\u6b21\u8d85\u65f6\uff0c\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u8fd8\u4f1a\u4f4e\u4f30\u8fd9\u6b21\u6240\u9700\u65f6\u95f4\uff1f\" 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href=\"https:\/\/web.mit.edu\/curhan\/www\/docs\/Articles\/biases\/67_J_Personality_and_Social_Psychology_366%2C_1994.pdf\" rel=\"nofollow\">https:\/\/web.mit.edu\/curhan\/www\/docs\/Articles\/biases\/67_J_Personality_and_Social_Psychology_366%2C_1994.pdf<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/18604961\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">https:\/\/pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/18604961\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":17897162,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":true,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_geoff_meta_description_en":"The planning fallacy arises when we build a smooth story about the current task while neglecting how long comparable tasks actually took in the 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