{"id":19071,"date":"2026-09-03T20:43:28","date_gmt":"2026-09-03T10:43:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/explainability-requires-more-than-accurate-prediction\/"},"modified":"2026-09-03T20:43:28","modified_gmt":"2026-09-03T10:43:28","slug":"explainability-requires-more-than-accurate-prediction","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/explainability-requires-more-than-accurate-prediction\/","title":{"rendered":"\u53ef\u89e3\u91ca\u6027\uff1a\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u9884\u6d4b\u51c6\u786e\u8fd8\u4e0d\u7b49\u4e8e\u89e3\u91ca\u6e05\u695a\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/public-assets.geoffreychen.com\/wordpress\/articles\/explainability-requires-more-than-accurate-prediction\/82ac97e59086574035b66972.jpg?w=1140&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\u53ef\u89e3\u91ca\u6027\uff1a\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u9884\u6d4b\u51c6\u786e\u8fd8\u4e0d\u7b49\u4e8e\u89e3\u91ca\u6e05\u695a\uff1f\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/p>\n<p>\u4e00\u4e2a\u7cfb\u7edf\u591a\u6b21\u731c\u4e2d\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u4e0d\u8868\u793a\u6211\u4eec\u77e5\u9053\u5b83\u4e3a\u4f55\u6210\u529f\u3002\u96e8\u4f1e\u9500\u91cf\u80fd\u9884\u6d4b\u964d\u96e8\uff0c\u5374\u4e0d\u662f\u4e0b\u96e8\u7684\u539f\u56e0\uff1b\u6a21\u578b\u6293\u4f4f\u7a33\u5b9a\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u4e5f\u80fd\u5f97\u5230\u9ad8\u51c6\u786e\u7387\uff0c\u5374\u672a\u5fc5\u8bf4\u660e\u54ea\u4e9b\u56e0\u7d20\u771f\u6b63\u8d77\u4f5c\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53ef\u89e3\u91ca\u6027\u8981\u6c42\u8f93\u51fa\u5e26\u6709\u53ef\u7406\u89e3\u7684\u4f9d\u636e\uff0c\u5e76\u8bf4\u660e\u4f9d\u636e\u5728\u4ec0\u4e48\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0b\u6210\u7acb\u3002\u5b83\u4e0d\u540c\u4e8e\u900f\u660e\u6027\uff1a\u770b\u89c1\u5168\u90e8\u4ee3\u7801\u548c\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u4ecd\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u7406\u89e3\u67d0\u6b21\u5224\u65ad\uff1b\u4e5f\u4e0d\u540c\u4e8e\u56e0\u679c\u89e3\u91ca\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5fe0\u5b9e\u8bf4\u660e\u6a21\u578b\u600e\u6837\u4f7f\u7528\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u7b49\u4e8e\u53d1\u73b0\u73b0\u5b9e\u539f\u56e0\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e2a\u533a\u5206\u5728\u9ad8\u98ce\u9669\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e2d\u5c24\u5176\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u82e5\u8d37\u6b3e\u6a21\u578b\u62d2\u7edd\u7533\u8bf7\u4eba\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u4ec5\u60f3\u77e5\u9053\u5b83\u591a\u51c6\uff0c\u8fd8\u8981\u77e5\u9053\u8f93\u51fa\u4f9d\u8d56\u4ec0\u4e48\u3001\u54ea\u4e9b\u6539\u53d8\u53ef\u80fd\u6539\u53d8\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6a21\u578b\u4f55\u65f6\u8d85\u51fa\u77e5\u8bc6\u8fb9\u754c\u3002\u53ef\u89e3\u91ca\u6027\u4e0d\u662f\u7ed9\u590d\u6742\u8fc7\u7a0b\u914d\u4e00\u4e2a\u987a\u8033\u6545\u4e8b\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5efa\u7acb\u53ef\u68c0\u67e5\u7684\u7406\u7531\u94fe\u3002\u51c6\u786e\u7387\u56de\u7b54\u201c\u5e38\u5e38\u5bf9\u4e0d\u5bf9\u201d\uff0c\u89e3\u91ca\u56de\u7b54\u201c\u4e3a\u4f55\u8fd9\u6837\u5224\u65ad\uff0c\u4f55\u65f6\u4e0d\u8be5\u76f8\u4fe1\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nist.gov\/publications\/four-principles-explainable-artificial-intelligence\" rel=\"nofollow\">https:\/\/www.nist.gov\/publications\/four-principles-explainable-artificial-intelligence<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s42256-019-0048-x\" rel=\"nofollow\">https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s42256-019-0048-x<\/a><\/p>\n<p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":17897162,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_geoff_meta_description_en":"Explainability requires reasons and limits, not accuracy alone: a stable prediction may work while failing to show what matters or when it will fail.","_geoff_meta_description_zh":"\u53ef\u89e3\u91ca\u6027\u8981\u6c42\u8bf4\u660e\u8f93\u51fa\u4f9d\u636e\u53ca\u5176\u9002\u7528\u8fb9\u754c\u3002\u51c6\u786e\u9884\u6d4b\u53ef\u4ee5\u6765\u81ea\u7a33\u5b9a\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u4f46\u82e5\u4e0d\u80fd\u56de\u7b54\u7406\u7531\u3001\u53d8\u5316\u6761\u4ef6\u548c\u5931\u6548\u8303\u56f4\uff0c\u5c31\u4ecd\u4e0d\u662f\u5145\u5206\u89e3\u91ca\u3002","_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[787294141],"tags":[787299188,787299191,787299190,787299189],"class_list":["post-19071","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-philosophical-concepts","tag-explainability","tag-prediction-zh","tag-prediction","tag-explainability-zh",""],"translatepress_titles":{"en_AU":"Explainability: Why Accurate Prediction Is Not Yet an Explanation","zh_CN":"\u53ef\u89e3\u91ca\u6027\uff1a\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u9884\u6d4b\u51c6\u786e\u8fd8\u4e0d\u7b49\u4e8e\u89e3\u91ca\u6e05\u695a\uff1f"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p1ar9H-4XB","jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19071","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/17897162"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19071"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19071\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19071"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19071"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19071"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}