{"id":19043,"date":"2026-09-03T09:54:33","date_gmt":"2026-09-02T23:54:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/non-monotonic-reasoning-allows-conclusions-to-be-retracted\/"},"modified":"2026-10-10T19:38:01","modified_gmt":"2026-10-10T08:38:01","slug":"non-monotonic-reasoning-allows-conclusions-to-be-retracted","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/non-monotonic-reasoning-allows-conclusions-to-be-retracted\/","title":{"rendered":"\u975e\u5355\u8c03\u63a8\u7406\uff1a\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u66f4\u591a\u4fe1\u606f\u4f1a\u64a4\u56de\u65e7\u7ed3\u8bba\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/public-assets.geoffreychen.com\/wordpress\/articles\/non-monotonic-reasoning-allows-conclusions-to-be-retracted\/e758d7f1218d49e20776959d.jpg?w=1140&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\u975e\u5355\u8c03\u63a8\u7406\uff1a\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u66f4\u591a\u4fe1\u606f\u4f1a\u64a4\u56de\u65e7\u7ed3\u8bba\uff1f\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/p>\n<p>\u975e\u5355\u8c03\u63a8\u7406\u5141\u8bb8\u65b0\u4fe1\u606f\u4f7f\u5148\u524d\u5408\u7406\u7684\u7ed3\u8bba\u5931\u6548\u3002\u77e5\u9053\u5c0f\u9e1f\u7fe0\u8482\u662f\u4e00\u53ea\u9e1f\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u6682\u65f6\u5224\u65ad\u5b83\u4f1a\u98de\uff1b\u540e\u6765\u5f97\u77e5\u5b83\u662f\u4f01\u9e45\uff0c\u5c31\u5e94\u64a4\u56de\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u8fd9\u4e0d\u662f\u524d\u540e\u77db\u76fe\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u539f\u7ed3\u8bba\u4f9d\u8d56\u201c\u9e1f\u901a\u5e38\u4f1a\u98de\u201d\u8fd9\u4e00\u9ed8\u8ba4\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u65b0\u4e8b\u5b9e\u51fb\u8d25\u4e86\u6761\u4ef6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5b83\u4e0e\u4e25\u683c\u6f14\u7ece\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u82e5\u7ed3\u8bba\u786e\u7531\u4e00\u7ec4\u524d\u63d0\u5fc5\u7136\u63a8\u51fa\uff0c\u518d\u589e\u52a0\u524d\u63d0\u4e0d\u4f1a\u4f7f\u539f\u63a8\u5bfc\u5931\u6548\uff1b\u65e5\u5e38\u5224\u65ad\u5374\u5e38\u4f9d\u8d56\u5178\u578b\u60c5\u51b5\u3001\u6700\u4f73\u89e3\u91ca\u6216\u6682\u65f6\u7f3a\u5c11\u53cd\u4f8b\u3002\u975e\u5355\u8c03\u4e5f\u4e0d\u7b49\u4e8e\u968f\u610f\u6539\u53e3\uff1a\u64a4\u56de\u5fc5\u987b\u80fd\u6307\u51fa\u54ea\u6761\u65b0\u4fe1\u606f\u6539\u53d8\u4e86\u652f\u6301\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6982\u5ff5\u63d0\u9192\u6211\u4eec\uff0c\u628a\u7ed3\u8bba\u6807\u6210\u201c\u53ef\u4fee\u6b63\u201d\u5e76\u975e\u8f6f\u5f31\u3002AI\u3001\u8bca\u65ad\u548c\u751f\u6d3b\u5224\u65ad\u9762\u5bf9\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\u4fe1\u606f\u65f6\uff0c\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u4e0d\u53ea\u5728\u4e8e\u5f97\u51fa\u7b54\u6848\uff0c\u4e5f\u5728\u4e8e\u77e5\u9053\u4ec0\u4e48\u8bc1\u636e\u51fa\u73b0\u540e\u5e94\u5f53\u6536\u56de\u7b54\u6848\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/plato.stanford.edu\/entries\/logic-nonmonotonic\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">https:\/\/plato.stanford.edu\/entries\/logic-nonmonotonic\/<\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"roadly-philosophy-promotion\">\n<hr>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/app\/id6815896028\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geoffreychen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/roadly-philosophy-app-icon-1.jpg?resize=72%2C72&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Roadly Philosophy\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" style=\"display:block;width:72px;height:72px;border-radius:16px;\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Roadly Philosophy<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u60f3\u6362\u4e00\u79cd\u65b9\u5f0f\u63a5\u89e6\u54f2\u5b66\uff1f\u8bd5\u8bd5\u6211\u5f00\u53d1\u7684 iPhone \u54f2\u5b66\u6e38\u620f Roadly Philosophy\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/app\/id6815896028\" aria-label=\"\u5728 App Store \u4e0b\u8f7d: Roadly Philosophy\" style=\"display:inline-block;padding:12px 0;\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geoffreychen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/roadly-app-store-badge-zh-cn-hires.png?resize=150%2C50&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\u5728 App Store \u4e0b\u8f7d\" width=\"150\" height=\"50\" style=\"display:block;width:150px;height:50px;max-width:100%;border:0;\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":17897162,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_geoff_meta_description_en":"Using birds and penguins, this essay explains why non-monotonic reasoning permits rational retraction when new information defeats an earlier conclusion.","_geoff_meta_description_zh":"\u4ee5\u201c\u9e1f\u901a\u5e38\u4f1a\u98de\u3001\u4f46\u4f01\u9e45\u4e0d\u4f1a\u98de\u201d\u4e3a\u4f8b\uff0c\u89e3\u91ca\u975e\u5355\u8c03\u63a8\u7406\u4e3a\u4f55\u5141\u8bb8\u65b0\u4fe1\u606f\u64a4\u56de\u65e7\u7ed3\u8bba\uff0c\u5e76\u533a\u5206\u8fd9\u79cd\u7406\u6027\u4fee\u6b63\u3001\u968f\u610f\u6539\u53e3\u4e0e\u4e25\u683c\u6f14\u7ece\u7684\u8fb9\u754c\u3002","_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_hide_featured_image":false,"_jetpack_featured_image_duplicate_dismissed":0,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[787294141],"tags":[787299150,787299149,787299148,787299151],"class_list":["post-19043","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-philosophical-concepts","tag-defeasible-inference","tag-non-monotonic-reasoning-zh","tag-non-monotonic-reasoning","tag-defeasible-inference-zh","","has-post-thumbnail","fallback-thumbnail"],"translatepress_titles":{"en_AU":"Non-monotonic Reasoning: Why Can More Information Retract an Earlier Conclusion?","zh_CN":"\u975e\u5355\u8c03\u63a8\u7406\uff1a\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u66f4\u591a\u4fe1\u606f\u4f1a\u64a4\u56de\u65e7\u7ed3\u8bba\uff1f"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p1ar9H-4X9","jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19043","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/17897162"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19043"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19043\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":21887,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19043\/revisions\/21887"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19043"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19043"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19043"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}