{"id":19004,"date":"2026-09-02T22:02:45","date_gmt":"2026-09-02T12:02:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/can-voting-be-rational-when-one-vote-rarely-decides\/"},"modified":"2026-10-10T19:37:54","modified_gmt":"2026-10-10T08:37:54","slug":"can-voting-be-rational-when-one-vote-rarely-decides","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/can-voting-be-rational-when-one-vote-rarely-decides\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e00\u5f20\u7968\u51e0\u4e4e\u4e0d\u80fd\u51b3\u5b9a\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u6295\u7968\u8fd8\u7406\u6027\u5417\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/public-assets.geoffreychen.com\/wordpress\/articles\/can-voting-be-rational-when-one-vote-rarely-decides\/7b80173dc67c61dfdd808080.jpg?w=1140&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\u4e00\u5f20\u7968\u51e0\u4e4e\u4e0d\u80fd\u51b3\u5b9a\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u6295\u7968\u8fd8\u7406\u6027\u5417\uff1f\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u53c2\u4e0e\u4eba\u6570\u4f17\u591a\u7684\u9009\u4e3e\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e00\u5f20\u7968\u6070\u597d\u6539\u53d8\u80dc\u8d1f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u901a\u5e38\u5f88\u4f4e\u3002\u82e5\u6295\u7968\u7684\u552f\u4e00\u76ee\u7684\uff0c\u662f\u8ba9\u201c\u6211\u7684\u8fd9\u4e00\u7968\u201d\u76f4\u63a5\u6362\u6765\u504f\u597d\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u65f6\u95f4\u6210\u672c\u53ef\u80fd\u8d85\u8fc7\u9884\u671f\u6536\u76ca\uff0c\u8fd9\u4fbf\u5f62\u6210\u6240\u8c13\u201c\u6295\u7968\u6096\u8bba\u201d\u3002\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e2a\u63a8\u8bba\u6697\u4e2d\u9650\u5b9a\u4e86\u884c\u52a8\u76ee\u7684\uff1a\u5b83\u53ea\u628a\u6295\u7968\u770b\u6210\u4e2a\u4eba\u64cd\u7eb5\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u5de5\u5177\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u653f\u6cbb\u54f2\u5b66\u5bf9\u6b64\u6ca1\u6709\u5355\u4e00\u7b54\u6848\u3002\u6709\u4e9b\u7406\u8bba\u628a\u6295\u7968\u7406\u89e3\u4e3a\u8868\u8fbe\u8ba4\u540c\uff1b\u53e6\u4e00\u4e9b\u5f3a\u8c03\u5171\u540c\u9020\u6210\u516c\u5171\u51b3\u5b9a\u3001\u5206\u62c5\u7ef4\u6301\u6c11\u4e3b\u5236\u5ea6\u7684\u8d23\u4efb\uff0c\u6216\u907f\u514d\u8ba9\u522b\u4eba\u627f\u62c5\u5168\u90e8\u53c2\u4e0e\u6210\u672c\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\u770b\uff0c\u4e00\u5f20\u7968\u5373\u4f7f\u4e0d\u662f\u51b3\u5b9a\u7968\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u8054\u5408\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u201c\u5982\u679c\u4eba\u4eba\u90fd\u4e0d\u6295\u7968\u4f1a\u5f88\u7cdf\u201d\u672c\u8eab\u4ecd\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u8bc1\u660e\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u90fd\u6709\u6295\u7968\u4e49\u52a1\uff1b\u5426\u5219\u4e5f\u4f1a\u8352\u8c2c\u5730\u63a8\u51fa\u4eba\u4eba\u90fd\u8be5\u52a1\u519c\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6ca1\u6709\u519c\u6c11\u5927\u5bb6\u4f1a\u6328\u997f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6211\u7684\u5224\u65ad\u662f\uff0c\u201c\u4e00\u7968\u65e0\u7528\u201d\u53ea\u9a73\u5012\u4e86\u8fc7\u5f3a\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u60f3\u8c61\uff0c\u5e76\u672a\u81ea\u52a8\u8bc1\u660e\u5f03\u6743\u66f4\u7406\u6027\u3002\u6295\u7968\u662f\u5426\u7406\u6027\uff0c\u8981\u770b\u884c\u52a8\u8005\u771f\u6b63\u91cd\u89c6\u7684\u662f\u6539\u53d8\u7ed3\u679c\u3001\u53c2\u4e0e\u5171\u540c\u51b3\u5b9a\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u5c65\u884c\u67d0\u79cd\u516c\u6c11\u8d23\u4efb\uff1b\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7406\u7531\u8fd8\u987b\u4e0e\u4e86\u89e3\u5019\u9009\u65b9\u6848\u7684\u6210\u672c\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u516c\u5171\u884c\u52a8\u6bd4\u8f83\u3002\u6295\u7968\u4e0d\u662f\u795e\u5947\u6309\u94ae\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u7edf\u8ba1\u566a\u58f0\uff0c\u5b83\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u76ee\u7684\u9700\u8981\u8bf4\u6e05\u695a\u7684\u5b9e\u8df5\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/plato.stanford.edu\/entries\/voting\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">https:\/\/plato.stanford.edu\/entries\/voting\/<\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"roadly-philosophy-promotion\">\n<hr>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/app\/id6815896028\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geoffreychen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/roadly-philosophy-app-icon-1.jpg?resize=72%2C72&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Roadly Philosophy\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" style=\"display:block;width:72px;height:72px;border-radius:16px;\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Roadly Philosophy<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u60f3\u6362\u4e00\u79cd\u65b9\u5f0f\u63a5\u89e6\u54f2\u5b66\uff1f\u8bd5\u8bd5\u6211\u5f00\u53d1\u7684 iPhone \u54f2\u5b66\u6e38\u620f Roadly Philosophy\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/app\/id6815896028\" aria-label=\"\u5728 App Store \u4e0b\u8f7d: Roadly Philosophy\" style=\"display:inline-block;padding:12px 0;\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geoffreychen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/roadly-app-store-badge-zh-cn-hires.png?resize=150%2C50&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\u5728 App Store \u4e0b\u8f7d\" width=\"150\" height=\"50\" style=\"display:block;width:150px;height:50px;max-width:100%;border:0;\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":17897162,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_geoff_meta_description_en":"One ballot rarely decides a large election, but that challenges only one reason to vote. Rationality also depends on shared agency and civic responsibility.","_geoff_meta_description_zh":"\u5355\u5f20\u9009\u7968\u5f88\u5c11\u5de6\u53f3\u5927\u578b\u9009\u4e3e\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ea\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u201c\u6211\u80fd\u51b3\u5b9a\u80dc\u8d1f\u201d\u7684\u7406\u7531\u3002\u6295\u7968\u662f\u5426\u7406\u6027\u8fd8\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u53c2\u4e0e\u5171\u540c\u51b3\u5b9a\u3001\u5206\u62c5\u516c\u6c11\u8d23\u4efb\u7b49\u4e0d\u540c\u76ee\u7684\u4e0e\u6210\u672c\u3002","_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_hide_featured_image":false,"_jetpack_featured_image_duplicate_dismissed":0,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[787294141],"tags":[787299104,787299102,787299105,787299103],"class_list":["post-19004","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-philosophical-concepts","tag-practical-rationality","tag-voting-ethics","tag-practical-rationality-zh","tag-voting-ethics-zh","","has-post-thumbnail","fallback-thumbnail"],"translatepress_titles":{"en_AU":"Can Voting Be Rational When One Vote Rarely Decides?","zh_CN":"\u4e00\u5f20\u7968\u51e0\u4e4e\u4e0d\u80fd\u51b3\u5b9a\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u6295\u7968\u8fd8\u7406\u6027\u5417\uff1f"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p1ar9H-4Ww","jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19004","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/17897162"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19004"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19004\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":21882,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19004\/revisions\/21882"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19004"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19004"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19004"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}