{"id":18759,"date":"2026-08-30T03:01:04","date_gmt":"2026-08-29T17:01:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/sustenesis-observation-2026-08-29\/"},"modified":"2026-08-30T03:01:04","modified_gmt":"2026-08-29T17:01:04","slug":"sustenesis-observation-2026-08-29","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/sustenesis-observation-2026-08-29\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7ef4\u6210\u89c2\u5bdf\uff5c2026\u5e748\u670829\u65e5\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd"},"content":{"rendered":"<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd<\/p>\n

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\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a<\/p>\n

\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u3001\u80fd\u6e90\u3001\u73af\u5883\u4e0e\u6c34\u90e88\u670828\u65e5\u53d1\u5e03\u622a\u81f32026\u5e743\u6708\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6e05\u5355\u5b63\u5ea6\u66f4\u65b0\u3002\u6e05\u5355\u4f30\u7b97\uff0c\u622a\u81f33\u6708\u7684\u4e00\u5e74\u5168\u56fd\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u4e3a4.556\u4ebf\u5428\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u5f53\u91cf\uff0c\u6bd4\u4e0a\u4e00\u5e74\u51cf\u5c11750\u4e07\u5428\uff0c\u964d\u5e45\u4e3a1.6%\uff1b\u8fd9\u4e00\u6c34\u5e73\u6bd42005\u5e74\u4f4e25.0%\u3002\u62a5\u544a\u540c\u65f6\u7ed9\u51fa\u622a\u81f32026\u5e746\u6708\u7684\u4e00\u5e74\u521d\u6b65\u4f30\u7b97\u503c4.524\u4ebf\u5428\uff0c\u6bd4\u4e0a\u4e00\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u51cf\u5c111.8%\uff0c\u8be5\u6570\u5b57\u5c06\u572811\u6708\u53d1\u5e03\u4e0b\u4e00\u4efd\u5b63\u5ea6\u66f4\u65b0\u65f6\u4fee\u8ba2\u3002<\/p>\n

\u622a\u81f33\u6708\u7684\u4e00\u5e74\uff0c\u7535\u529b\u884c\u4e1a\u6392\u653e\u4e0b\u964d3.7%\uff0c\u5373560\u4e07\u5428\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u5f53\u91cf\uff1b\u9038\u6563\u6392\u653e\u4e0b\u964d3.3%\uff0c\u519c\u4e1a\u6392\u653e\u4e0b\u964d1.0%\uff0c\u4e0d\u542b\u53d1\u7535\u7684\u56fa\u5b9a\u80fd\u6e90\u6392\u653e\u4e0b\u964d0.2%\u3002\u4ea4\u901a\u6392\u653e\u589e\u52a00.2%\uff0c\u5de5\u4e1a\u8fc7\u7a0b\u548c\u4ea7\u54c1\u4f7f\u7528\u6392\u653e\u589e\u52a02.1%\u3002\u90e8\u95e8\u5c06\u7535\u529b\u6392\u653e\u4e0b\u964d\u4e0e\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u53d1\u7535\u589e\u52a0\u3001\u7164\u7535\u548c\u71c3\u6c14\u53d1\u7535\u88ab\u66ff\u4ee3\u8054\u7cfb\u8d77\u6765\uff1b\u4ea4\u901a\u6392\u653e\u589e\u52a0\u4e3b\u8981\u6765\u81ea\u9053\u8def\u67f4\u6cb9\u4f7f\u7528\u548c\u56fd\u5185\u822a\u7a7a\u6d3b\u52a8\u589e\u52a0\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5b63\u5ea6\u6e05\u5355\u662f\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u56fd\u5bb6\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u8d26\u6237\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u5e76\u6309\u300a\u5df4\u9ece\u534f\u5b9a\u300b\u4e0b\u91c7\u7528\u7684\u6392\u653e\u4f30\u7b97\u89c4\u5219\u7f16\u5236\u3002\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u622a\u81f33\u6708\u7684\u4e00\u5e74\uff0c\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u5df2\u4f7f\u7528\u51762030\u5e74\u6392\u653e\u9884\u7b97\u768460%\u3002\u622a\u81f33\u6708\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u5168\u56fd\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u6309\u8d8b\u52bf\u503c\u8ba1\u7b97\u6bd42025\u5e7412\u6708\u5b63\u5ea6\u4e0b\u964d1.2%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u7b2c\u4e5d\u5de1\u56de\u4e0a\u8bc9\u6cd5\u96628\u670828\u65e5\u5c31KalshiEX\u8bc9\u5185\u534e\u8fbe\u5dde\u535a\u5f69\u76d1\u7ba1\u673a\u6784\u4e00\u6848\u4f5c\u51fa\u88c1\u5b9a\uff0c\u7ef4\u6301\u8054\u90a6\u5730\u533a\u6cd5\u9662\u89e3\u9664\u521d\u6b65\u7981\u4ee4\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u3002\u8be5\u88c1\u5b9a\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u5728\u8bc9\u8bbc\u7ee7\u7eed\u8fdb\u884c\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u5185\u534e\u8fbe\u5dde\u53ef\u5bf9Kalshi\u7684\u4f53\u80b2\u8d5b\u4e8b\u5408\u7ea6\u9002\u7528\u5dde\u535a\u5f69\u6cd5\u5f8b\u548c\u76d1\u7ba1\u8981\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n

Kalshi\u4e3b\u5f20\u5176\u662f\u53d7\u7f8e\u56fd\u5546\u54c1\u671f\u8d27\u4ea4\u6613\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u76d1\u7ba1\u7684\u6307\u5b9a\u5408\u7ea6\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u5176\u4f53\u80b2\u8d5b\u4e8b\u5408\u7ea6\u5c5e\u4e8e\u8054\u90a6\u300a\u5546\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u6cd5\u300b\u4e0b\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u5dde\u535a\u5f69\u6cd5\u89c4\u5e94\u88ab\u8054\u90a6\u6cd5\u6392\u9664\u3002\u7531\u4e09\u540d\u6cd5\u5b98\u7ec4\u6210\u7684\u5408\u8bae\u5ead\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0cKalshi\u6ca1\u6709\u8bc1\u660e\u8be5\u6cd5\u53ef\u80fd\u6392\u9664\u5185\u534e\u8fbe\u5dde\u5bf9\u4f53\u80b2\u8d5b\u4e8b\u5408\u7ea6\u5b9e\u65bd\u535a\u5f69\u76d1\u7ba1\uff1b\u88c1\u5b9a\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5408\u7ea6\u4e0d\u662f\u8be5\u6cd5\u6240\u5b9a\u4e49\u3001\u7531\u5546\u54c1\u671f\u8d27\u4ea4\u6613\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4eab\u6709\u6392\u4ed6\u7ba1\u8f96\u6743\u7684\u201c\u4e92\u6362\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6cd5\u9662\u5c06\u5185\u534e\u8fbe\u5dde\u9488\u5bf9\u9009\u4e3e\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5408\u7ea6\u7684\u4e89\u8bae\u53d1\u56de\u5730\u533a\u6cd5\u9662\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5ba1\u7406\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u672c\u6b21\u88c1\u5b9a\u6ca1\u6709\u6700\u7ec8\u89e3\u51b3\u9009\u4e3e\u5408\u7ea6\u7684\u76d1\u7ba1\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0cKalshi\u8868\u793a\u5c06\u5bfb\u6c42\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5ba1\u67e5\uff1b\u5728\u6b64\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u5176\u5728\u5185\u534e\u8fbe\u5dde\u7684\u4f53\u80b2\u3001\u5a31\u4e50\u548c\u9009\u4e3e\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5408\u7ea6\u4ea4\u6613\u4ecd\u53d7\u963b\u3002\u7b2c\u4e5d\u5de1\u56de\u6cd5\u9662\u7684\u88c1\u5b9a\u6d89\u53ca\u8bc9\u8bbc\u671f\u95f4\u7684\u7981\u4ee4\u4e0e\u7ba1\u8f96\u6743\u5224\u65ad\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u5bf9\u6240\u6709\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u4ea7\u54c1\u4f5c\u51fa\u5168\u56fd\u7edf\u4e00\u76d1\u7ba1\u5b89\u6392\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f16\u8f91\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bf4\u660e\uff1a\u672c\u6587\u4ee5\u7ef4\u6210\u8bba\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e8b\u5b9e\u9009\u62e9\u3001\u5173\u7cfb\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4e0e\u4fe1\u606f\u7ed3\u6784\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5173\u6ce8\u89c4\u5219\u3001\u8d23\u4efb\u3001\u8d44\u6e90\u3001\u98ce\u9669\u4e0e\u793e\u4f1a\u5173\u7cfb\u4e2d\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u548c\u7ea6\u675f\u3002\u7ef4\u6210\u8bba\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u7f16\u8f91\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u6b63\u6587\u4e2d\u7684\u8bc4\u8bba\u7acb\u573a\uff1b\u6b63\u6587\u53ea\u5448\u73b0\u53ef\u6838\u9a8c\u4e8b\u5b9e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6765\u6e90<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u534e\u4eba\u6c11\u5171\u548c\u56fd\u5e94\u6025\u7ba1\u7406\u90e8\uff0c\u897f\u85cf\u65e5\u5580\u5219\u5e02\u5409\u9686\u53bf\u6ce5\u77f3\u6d41\u707e\u5bb3\u6551\u63f4\u6301\u7eed\u8fdb\u884c\u4e2d
https:\/\/www.mem.gov.cn\/xw\/yjglbgzdt\/202608\/t20260829_709136.shtml<\/a><\/p>\n

\u65b0\u534e\u793e\uff0c\u76ee\u51fb\u897f\u85cf\u5409\u9686\u53e3\u5cb8\u4e0a\u6e38\u5830\u585e\u6e56
https:\/\/www.news.cn\/politics\/20260829\/2145e5194a0849fba928338ccebe875e\/c.html<\/a><\/p>\n

Reuters\uff0cRisk of lake burst near China-Nepal border disaster site wanes
https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/environment\/risk-lake-burst-near-china-nepal-border-disaster-site-wanes-2026-08-29\/<\/a><\/p>\n

Australian Government Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water\uff0cNational Greenhouse Gas Inventory Quarterly Update: March 2026
https:\/\/www.dcceew.gov.au\/climate-change\/publications\/national-greenhouse-gas-inventory-quarterly-update-march-2026<\/a><\/p>\n

Australian Government Ministers\uff0cRenewables continue to lower Australia\u2019s emissions
https:\/\/minister.dcceew.gov.au\/bowen\/media-releases\/renewables-continue-lower-australias-emissions<\/a><\/p>\n

United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit\uff0cKalshiEX, LLC v. Assad
https:\/\/cdn.ca9.uscourts.gov\/datastore\/opinions\/2026\/08\/28\/25-7516.pdf<\/a><\/p>\n

Associated Press\uff0cFederal appeals court panel gives Nevada a win in its fight to regulate prediction market Kalshi
https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/nevada-kalshi-prediction-markets-gambling-polymarket-2168b6c0837ad9b4f0f63b04633d8835<\/a><\/p>\n

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