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https:\/\/pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/articles\/PMC1743746\/<\/a> ","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":17897162,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":true,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_geoff_meta_description_en":"Using a delayed project as an example, this essay explains how outcome knowledge makes the past seem more predictable and can distort accountability.","_geoff_meta_description_zh":"\u672c\u6587\u4ee5\u9879\u76ee\u5ef6\u671f\u4e3a\u4f8b\u89e3\u91ca\u540e\u89c1\u4e4b\u660e\u504f\u8bef\uff1a\u7ed3\u679c\u4f1a\u91cd\u7ec4\u6211\u4eec\u5bf9\u65e7\u7ebf\u7d22\u7684\u7406\u89e3\uff0c\u4f7f\u8fc7\u53bb\u663e\u5f97\u6bd4\u5f53\u65f6\u66f4\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u9020\u6210\u4e0d\u516c\u5e73\u7684\u8d23\u4efb\u5224\u65ad\u4e0e\u590d\u76d8\u3002","_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[787296909],"tags":[787295125,787296919,787295126,787296920],"class_list":["post-18716","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-everyday-psychology","tag-decision-making","tag-hindsight-bias","tag-decision-making-zh","tag-hindsight-bias-zh",""],"translatepress_titles":{"en_AU":"Why Does the Past Seem Predictable Once We Know the Outcome?","zh_CN":"\u4e8b\u60c5\u53d1\u751f\u4ee5\u540e\uff0c\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u603b\u89c9\u5f97\u65e9\u5c31\u8be5\u6599\u5230\uff1f"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p1ar9H-4RS","jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18716","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/17897162"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18716"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18716\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18716"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18716"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18716"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
https:\/\/pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/26168501\/<\/a><\/p>\n