{"id":18702,"date":"2026-08-29T11:52:46","date_gmt":"2026-08-29T01:52:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/identifiability-distinguishes-competing-explanations\/"},"modified":"2026-10-10T19:37:24","modified_gmt":"2026-10-10T08:37:24","slug":"identifiability-distinguishes-competing-explanations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/identifiability-distinguishes-competing-explanations\/","title":{"rendered":"\u53ef\u8bc6\u522b\u6027\uff1a\u540c\u6837\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u53ef\u80fd\u6765\u81ea\u4e0d\u540c\u89e3\u91ca\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/public-assets.geoffreychen.com\/wordpress\/articles\/identifiability-distinguishes-competing-explanations\/a5cf53cb261be947b81f0129.jpg?w=1140&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\u53ef\u8bc6\u522b\u6027\uff1a\u540c\u6837\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u53ef\u80fd\u6765\u81ea\u4e0d\u540c\u89e3\u91ca\uff1f\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/p>\n<p>\u53ef\u8bc6\u522b\u6027\u95ee\u7684\u4e0d\u662f\u201c\u6709\u6ca1\u6709\u89e3\u91ca\u201d\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e0d\u540c\u89e3\u91ca\u80fd\u5426\u88ab\u89c2\u5bdf\u533a\u5206\u3002\u5047\u8bbe\u5bb6\u5ead\u672c\u6708\u591a\u7528\u4e86100\u5ea6\u7535\uff0c\u4ec5\u770b\u603b\u8d26\u5355\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u53d6\u6696\u5668\u8fd0\u884c\u66f4\u4e45\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u70ed\u6c34\u5668\u6545\u969c\uff1b\u4e24\u79cd\u539f\u56e0\u4ea7\u751f\u540c\u4e00\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u5c31\u6ca1\u6709\u88ab\u552f\u4e00\u8bc6\u522b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5b83\u4e0e\u53ef\u89c2\u6d4b\u6027\u76f8\u90bb\u4f46\u4e0d\u76f8\u540c\u3002\u53ef\u89c2\u6d4b\u6027\u5173\u5fc3\u80fd\u5426\u4ece\u4fe1\u53f7\u63a8\u65ad\u5185\u90e8\u72b6\u6001\uff1b\u53ef\u8bc6\u522b\u6027\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u95ee\uff0c\u591a\u5957\u673a\u5236\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u7559\u4e0b\u76f8\u540c\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u5b83\u4e5f\u4e0d\u540c\u4e8e\u51c6\u786e\u7387\uff1a\u6a21\u578b\u5373\u4f7f\u5f88\u597d\u5730\u62df\u5408\u73b0\u6709\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ecd\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u662f\u552f\u4e00\u89e3\u91ca\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6982\u5ff5\u628a\u201c\u8bc1\u636e\u4e0d\u8db3\u201d\u8bf4\u5f97\u66f4\u7cbe\u786e\u3002\u7ee7\u7eed\u6536\u96c6\u540c\u4e00\u79cd\u603b\u91cf\u6570\u636e\u672a\u5fc5\u6709\u7528\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u589e\u52a0\u5206\u9879\u7535\u8868\u3001\u6539\u53d8\u89c2\u5bdf\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u6216\u4e3b\u52a8\u5bfb\u627e\u80fd\u8ba9\u4e24\u79cd\u89e3\u91ca\u4ea7\u751f\u4e0d\u540c\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u4e0d\u662f\u89e3\u91ca\u5f97\u591a\u6f02\u4eae\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5b83\u6709\u6ca1\u6709\u53ef\u88ab\u533a\u5206\u7684\u540e\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"roadly-philosophy-promotion\">\n<hr>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/app\/id6815896028\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geoffreychen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/roadly-philosophy-app-icon-1.jpg?resize=72%2C72&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Roadly Philosophy\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" style=\"display:block;width:72px;height:72px;border-radius:16px;\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Roadly Philosophy<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u60f3\u6362\u4e00\u79cd\u65b9\u5f0f\u63a5\u89e6\u54f2\u5b66\uff1f\u8bd5\u8bd5\u6211\u5f00\u53d1\u7684 iPhone \u54f2\u5b66\u6e38\u620f Roadly Philosophy\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/app\/id6815896028\" aria-label=\"\u5728 App Store \u4e0b\u8f7d: Roadly Philosophy\" style=\"display:inline-block;padding:12px 0;\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geoffreychen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/roadly-app-store-badge-zh-cn-hires.png?resize=150%2C50&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\u5728 App Store \u4e0b\u8f7d\" width=\"150\" height=\"50\" style=\"display:block;width:150px;height:50px;max-width:100%;border:0;\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":17897162,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_geoff_meta_description_en":"Identifiability asks whether observations can distinguish competing mechanisms, even when several explanations fit the existing data equally 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