{"id":16739,"date":"2026-09-18T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-09-17T23:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/?p=16739"},"modified":"2026-09-18T09:00:00","modified_gmt":"2026-09-17T23:00:00","slug":"terrorism-probable-over-50-percent-action","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/terrorism-probable-over-50-percent-action\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6050\u88ad\u98ce\u9669\u201c\u8d85\u8fc750%\u201d\u540e\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5a01\u80c1\u7b49\u7ea7\u8981\u6c42\u8c01\u505a\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<\/p>\n<p><em>\u300a\u5f53\u6570\u5b57\u5f00\u59cb\u505a\u51b3\u5b9a\u300b\u00b7 \u7b2c\u4e94\u5b63\u201c\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u4e8b\u201d\u00b7 \u7b2c\u5341\u4e00\u7bc7<\/em><\/p>\n<h2>\u4e00\u3001\u201cPROBABLE\u201d\u5e76\u4e0d\u8868\u793a\u88ad\u51fb\u5373\u5c06\u53d1\u751f<\/h2>\n<p>2024\u5e748\u67085\u65e5\uff0cAustralian Security Intelligence Organisation\uff08ASIO\uff09<a href=\"https:\/\/www.asio.gov.au\/national-terrorism-threat-level-2024\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u628a\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u56fd\u5bb6\u6050\u6016\u4e3b\u4e49\u5a01\u80c1\u7b49\u7ea7<\/a>\u4ecePOSSIBLE\u63d0\u9ad8\u5230PROBABLE\u3002\u5b98\u65b9\u5b9a\u4e49\u662f\uff1a\u672a\u676512\u4e2a\u6708\u5728\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u5883\u5185\u53d1\u751f\u6050\u6016\u88ad\u51fb\u6216\u88ad\u51fb\u7b56\u5212\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u5927\u4e8e50%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>ASIO\u540c\u65f6\u660e\u786e\u8bf4\u660e\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0d\u8868\u793a\u638c\u63e1\u4e86\u5f53\u524d\u5177\u4f53\u88ad\u51fb\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u8868\u793a\u9884\u8ba1\u88ad\u51fb\u8feb\u5728\u7709\u776b\u3002\u622a\u81f32026\u5e74\u4e2d\uff0c\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u653f\u5e9c\u516c\u5f00\u8d44\u6599\u4ecd\u79f0\u5168\u56fd\u7b49\u7ea7\u4e3aPROBABLE\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e00\u53e5\u201c\u8d85\u8fc750%\u201d\u82e5\u8131\u79bb\u5b8c\u6574\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5b9a\u4e49\uff0c\u5f88\u5bb9\u6613\u88ab\u542c\u6210\u201c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u906d\u9047\u6050\u88ad\u7684\u6982\u7387\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e00\u534a\u201d\u6216\u201c\u67d0\u6b21\u88ad\u51fb\u6bd4\u4e0d\u53d1\u751f\u66f4\u53ef\u80fd\u201d\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u547d\u9898\u662f\u5168\u56fd\u8303\u56f4\u3001\u5341\u4e8c\u4e2a\u6708\u65f6\u6bb5\u5185\uff0c\u201c\u88ad\u51fb\u6216\u88ad\u51fb\u7b56\u5212\u201d\u8fd9\u4e00\u5408\u5e76\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u8bc4\u4f30\u3002\u5b83\u4e0d\u662f\u4e2a\u4eba\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u5730\u70b9\u9884\u62a5\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u7b49\u4e8e\u6210\u529f\u88ad\u51fb\u6982\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6570\u5b57\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\u9996\u5148\u662f\u4e00\u9879\u6218\u7565\u8b66\u62a5\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u5b83\u5982\u4f55\u8fdb\u5165\u8b66\u529b\u3001\u60c5\u62a5\u3001\u516c\u5171\u573a\u6240\u9632\u62a4\u548c\u516c\u4f17\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u624d\u51b3\u5b9a\u5176\u771f\u6b63\u6743\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u4e8c\u300150%\u4e0d\u662f\u76f4\u63a5\u8ba1\u6570\u51fa\u6765\u7684\u9891\u7387<\/h2>\n<p>\u5929\u6c14\u548c\u6d2a\u6c34\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f9d\u8d56\u5927\u91cf\u91cd\u590d\u89c2\u6d4b\uff1b\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u9762\u5bf9\u7684\u662f\u7a00\u5c11\u3001\u9002\u5e94\u6027\u5f3a\u4e14\u5bf9\u624b\u4f1a\u9690\u85cf\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002ASIO\u7684National Threat Assessment Centre\u6574\u5408\u60c5\u62a5\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u7ed3\u6784\u5316\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u6cd5\u6d4b\u8bd5\u548c\u53cd\u9a73\u5047\u8bbe\uff0c\u518d\u5f62\u6210\u7b49\u7ea7\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u5927\u4e8e50%\u201d\u56e0\u6b64\u4e0d\u662f\u50cf\u786c\u5e01\u5b9e\u9a8c\u90a3\u6837\u7531\u6570\u767e\u6b21\u540c\u7c7b\u5e74\u5ea6\u76f4\u63a5\u4f30\u8ba1\u3002\u5b83\u662f\u60c5\u62a5\u3001\u610f\u56fe\u3001\u80fd\u529b\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u73af\u5883\u3001\u8c03\u67e5\u548c\u4e13\u4e1a\u5224\u65ad\u5f62\u6210\u7684\u6982\u7387\u6027\u8bc4\u4f30\u3002\u8bb8\u591a\u5e95\u5c42\u8d44\u6599\u56e0\u4fdd\u62a4\u6765\u6e90\u548c\u884c\u52a8\u4e0d\u80fd\u516c\u5f00\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4fdd\u5bc6\u6709\u6b63\u5f53\u6027\uff0c\u5374\u5e26\u6765\u590d\u6838\u56f0\u96be\u3002\u516c\u4f17\u65e0\u6cd5\u91cd\u7b97\uff0c\u8bae\u4f1a\u548c\u72ec\u7acb\u76d1\u7763\u673a\u6784\u4e5f\u53ea\u80fd\u5728\u53d7\u4fdd\u62a4\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0b\u68c0\u67e5\u3002\u7b49\u7ea7\u7684\u6743\u5a01\u5fc5\u987b\u6765\u81ea\u53d7\u7ea6\u675f\u7684\u5206\u6790\u7a0b\u5e8f\u3001\u660e\u786e\u65f6\u95f4\u8303\u56f4\u548c\u53ef\u95ee\u8d23\u673a\u6784\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u80fd\u53ea\u6765\u81ea\u4e00\u4e2a\u65e0\u6cd5\u9a8c\u8bc1\u7684\u6570\u5b57\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6982\u7387\u8fd8\u4f1a\u88ab\u884c\u52a8\u6539\u53d8\u3002\u52a0\u5f3a\u8c03\u67e5\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u73b0\u66f4\u591a\u7b56\u5212\uff0c\u4f7f\u8868\u9762\u98ce\u9669\u4e0a\u5347\uff1b\u6210\u529f\u7834\u574f\u8ba1\u5212\u53c8\u4f7f\u88ad\u51fb\u4e0d\u53d1\u751f\u3002\u5bf9\u624b\u77e5\u9053\u9632\u62a4\u53d8\u5316\u540e\u4e5f\u4f1a\u8f6c\u79fb\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u98ce\u9669\u4e0d\u662f\u9759\u6001\u81ea\u7136\u73b0\u8c61\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u53cc\u65b9\u884c\u52a8\u4e2d\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u4e09\u3001\u7b49\u7ea7\u771f\u6b63\u89e6\u53d1\u4ec0\u4e48<\/h2>\n<p>\u56fd\u5bb6\u5a01\u80c1\u7b49\u7ea7\u5411\u653f\u5e9c\u3001\u5173\u952e\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u3001\u8b66\u5bdf\u3001\u4f01\u4e1a\u548c\u516c\u4f17\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u4e2a\u5171\u540c\u6001\u52bf\u3002\u5b83\u53ef\u4fc3\u4f7f\u673a\u6784\u91cd\u65b0\u68c0\u67e5\u5b89\u5168\u8ba1\u5212\u3001\u8d44\u6e90\u3001\u5165\u53e3\u7ba1\u7406\u3001\u4eba\u5458\u57f9\u8bad\u548c\u4fe1\u606f\u5171\u4eab\uff0c\u4e5f\u5e2e\u52a9\u516c\u5171\u573a\u6240\u4f7f\u7528\u653f\u5e9c\u7684crowded places\u6307\u5bfc\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u5168\u56fd\u7b49\u7ea7\u672c\u8eab\u4e0d\u5e94\u81ea\u52a8\u51b3\u5b9a\u67d0\u4e2a\u6d3b\u52a8\u53d6\u6d88\u3001\u67d0\u4e2a\u4eba\u88ab\u8c03\u67e5\u6216\u67d0\u4e00\u7fa4\u4f53\u53d7\u5230\u989d\u5916\u9650\u5236\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u884c\u52a8\u9700\u8981\u5730\u70b9\u3001\u76ee\u6807\u3001\u60c5\u62a5\u548c\u6cd5\u5f8b\u6743\u9650\u3002\u82e5\u5b66\u6821\u3001\u573a\u9986\u6216\u4f01\u4e1a\u628aPROBABLE\u63a5\u5230\u67d0\u9879\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u4ecd\u987b\u5224\u65ad\u63aa\u65bd\u662f\u5426\u4e0e\u81ea\u8eab\u98ce\u9669\u76f8\u79f0\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5bf9\u516c\u4f17\uff0c\u5b98\u65b9\u4fe1\u606f\u5f3a\u8c03\u4fdd\u6301\u8b66\u89c9\u3001\u62a5\u544a\u53ef\u7591\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u5e76\u4e86\u89e3\u201cEscape. Hide. Tell.\u201d\u7b49\u88ad\u51fb\u5e94\u5bf9\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u505c\u6b62\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u3002\u82e5\u4e00\u4e2a\u8b66\u62a5\u4f7f\u6574\u4e2a\u793e\u4f1a\u957f\u671f\u5904\u4e8e\u65e0\u5dee\u522b\u6050\u60e7\uff0c\u4fbf\u53ef\u80fd\u635f\u5bb3\u4fe1\u4efb\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u51dd\u805a\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u672c\u8eab\u53c8\u5c5e\u4e8e\u5b89\u5168\u73af\u5883\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u8bf4\u660e\u5a01\u80c1\u7b49\u7ea7\u7684\u7528\u9014\u662f\u6821\u51c6\u51c6\u5907\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u5236\u9020\u6301\u7eed\u7d27\u6025\u72b6\u6001\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u56db\u3001\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u201c\u8d85\u8fc750%\u201d\u4ecd\u7136\u592a\u7c97<\/h2>\n<p>\u4e00\u4e2a\u7b49\u7ea7\u53ef\u4ee5\u957f\u671f\u4fdd\u6301\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u5185\u90e8\u98ce\u9669\u5374\u7ee7\u7eed\u5347\u9ad8\u30022026\u5e746\u6708\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u516c\u5f00\u8bbf\u8c08\u8ba8\u8bba\u73b0\u6709\u4f53\u7cfb\u662f\u5426\u8db3\u4ee5\u8868\u8fbe\u98ce\u9669\u201c\u6e29\u5ea6\u201d\u548c\u8d8b\u52bf\uff1b\u5b98\u65b9\u8bc4\u8bba\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4ecePROBABLE\u518d\u4e0a\u8c03\u5230EXPECTED\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u6d89\u53ca\u66f4\u5177\u4f53\u3001\u63a5\u8fd1\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u60c5\u62a5\u6761\u4ef6\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u6765\uff0cPROBABLE\u5185\u90e8\u53ef\u80fd\u5bb9\u7eb3\u76f8\u5f53\u5bbd\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u8303\u56f4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e0d\u662f\u7b80\u5355\u628a50%\u6539\u621060%\u5c31\u80fd\u89e3\u51b3\u3002\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u5224\u65ad\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5173\u5fc3\u603b\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u8fd8\u5173\u5fc3\u88ad\u51fb\u7c7b\u578b\u3001\u884c\u4e3a\u8005\u3001\u51c6\u5907\u65f6\u95f4\u3001\u76ee\u6807\u3001\u53ef\u63a2\u6d4b\u6027\u548c\u6f5c\u5728\u540e\u679c\u3002\u4f4e\u590d\u6742\u5ea6\u3001\u5c11\u9884\u8b66\u7684\u4e2a\u4eba\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u4e0e\u6709\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u8ba1\u5212\u9700\u8981\u4e0d\u540c\u9632\u62a4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u516c\u4f17\u7b49\u7ea7\u5fc5\u987b\u7b80\u6d01\uff0c\u5426\u5219\u5931\u53bb\u6c9f\u901a\u529f\u80fd\uff1b\u7b80\u6d01\u53c8\u4f1a\u538b\u5e73\u5dee\u5f02\u3002\u5408\u7406\u8865\u5145\u662f\u516c\u5f00\u53d9\u8ff0\uff1a\u54ea\u4e9b\u8d8b\u52bf\u63a8\u52a8\u7b49\u7ea7\u3001\u54ea\u4e9b\u5e76\u4e0d\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5177\u4f53\u5a01\u80c1\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u5e0c\u671b\u4e0d\u540c\u4e3b\u4f53\u91c7\u53d6\u4ec0\u4e48\u884c\u52a8\u30022024\u5e74ASIO\u4e0a\u8c03\u65f6\u63d0\u4f9b\u89e3\u91ca\uff0c\u6b63\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u907f\u514d\u7b49\u7ea7\u72ec\u81ea\u8bf4\u8bdd\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u4e94\u3001\u9519\u8bef\u7684\u4e24\u79cd\u65b9\u5411<\/h2>\n<p>\u8fc7\u4f4e\u8bc4\u4f30\u53ef\u80fd\u4f7f\u673a\u6784\u51c6\u5907\u4e0d\u8db3\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u65e0\u6cd5\u633d\u56de\u7684\u4f24\u5bb3\uff1b\u8fc7\u9ad8\u8bc4\u4f30\u5219\u53ef\u80fd\u7ef4\u6301\u6602\u8d35\u63aa\u65bd\u3001\u4fb5\u72af\u6743\u5229\u3001\u5236\u9020\u6c61\u540d\uff0c\u5e76\u4f7f\u516c\u4f17\u5bf9\u957f\u671f\u8b66\u62a5\u9ebb\u6728\u3002\u4e24\u79cd\u9519\u8bef\u90fd\u771f\u5b9e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u201c\u865a\u8b66\u201d\u8fd8\u96be\u4ee5\u4e8b\u540e\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u82e5\u8ba1\u5212\u56e0\u9632\u62a4\u800c\u88ab\u653e\u5f03\uff0c\u4e8b\u4ef6\u6ca1\u53d1\u751f\u662f\u8bc4\u4f30\u8fc7\u9ad8\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u9884\u9632\u6210\u529f\uff1f\u82e5\u8c03\u67e5\u53d1\u73b0\u66f4\u591a\u7b56\u5212\uff0c\u7b49\u7ea7\u4e0a\u5347\u662f\u73af\u5883\u6076\u5316\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u53ef\u89c1\u6027\u6539\u5584\uff1f\u7b80\u5355\u6309\u88ad\u51fb\u6b21\u6570\u8bc4\u5206\u4f1a\u60e9\u7f5a\u6709\u6548\u9884\u9632\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u56e0\u6b64\u8bc4\u4f30\u5e94\u4fdd\u5b58\u66f4\u4e30\u5bcc\u7684\u5185\u90e8\u6307\u6807\uff1a\u88ab\u7834\u574f\u8ba1\u5212\u3001\u610f\u56fe\u4e0e\u80fd\u529b\u53d8\u5316\u3001\u4e0d\u540c\u60c5\u5883\u7f6e\u4fe1\u5ea6\u3001\u884c\u52a8\u6210\u672c\u548c\u610f\u5916\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u5bf9\u5916\u53ef\u4ee5\u4fdd\u6301\u7b49\u7ea7\uff0c\u5bf9\u5185\u4e0d\u80fd\u8ba9\u7b49\u7ea7\u66ff\u4ee3\u5206\u6790\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd8\u5e94\u5ba1\u8ba1\u5dee\u522b\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u53ef\u7591\u884c\u4e3a\u62a5\u544a\u548c\u5b89\u5168\u68c0\u67e5\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u6210\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5730\u843d\u5728\u7279\u5b9a\u5b97\u6559\u3001\u65cf\u88d4\u6216\u653f\u6cbb\u7fa4\u4f53\u3002\u5168\u56fd\u6982\u7387\u4e0d\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u964d\u4f4e\u4e2a\u4f53\u8bc1\u636e\u6807\u51c6\u7684\u7406\u7531\u3002\u5bf9\u4e2a\u4eba\u91c7\u53d6\u5f3a\u5236\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5fc5\u987b\u56de\u5230\u6cd5\u5f8b\u95e8\u69db\u3001\u5177\u4f53\u4e8b\u5b9e\u548c\u72ec\u7acb\u76d1\u7763\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u516d\u3001\u590d\u6838\u3001\u671f\u9650\u4e0e\u9000\u51fa\u6761\u4ef6<\/h2>\n<p>\u201c\u672a\u676512\u4e2a\u6708\u201d\u610f\u5473\u7740\u7b49\u7ea7\u9700\u8981\u6301\u7eed\u91cd\u8bc4\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u6b21\u51b3\u5b9a\u6c38\u4e45\u6709\u6548\u3002ASIO\u5e94\u5728\u8bc1\u636e\u53d8\u5316\u65f6\u4e0a\u8c03\u6216\u4e0b\u8c03\uff0c\u5e76\u516c\u5f00\u8db3\u4ee5\u7406\u89e3\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u975e\u673a\u5bc6\u53d9\u8ff0\u3002\u957f\u671f\u4e0d\u53d8\u4e5f\u5e94\u5b9a\u671f\u8bf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Without Understanding\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u4e5f\u6700\u9ad8\u3002\u516c\u4f17\u88ab\u8981\u6c42\u76f8\u4fe1\u4e00\u9879\u4e0d\u80fd\u5b8c\u5168\u516c\u5f00\u7684\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u5f25\u8865\u65b9\u5f0f\u4e0d\u662f\u5047\u88c5\u6ca1\u6709\u4fdd\u5bc6\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u8ba9\u6743\u5a01\u5e26\u7740\u540d\u79f0\u3001\u671f\u9650\u3001\u76d1\u7763\u548c\u6709\u9650\u7528\u9014\u3002\u6700\u540e\u627f\u62c5\u5f3a\u5236\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u4eba\u5fc5\u987b\u80fd\u591f\u8bf4\u51fa\u6cd5\u5f8b\u548c\u7406\u7531\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u53ea\u6307\u5411\u201cPROBABLE\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u7ed3\u8bba\uff1a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7b49\u7ea7\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u9ad8\u51c6\u5907\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u964d\u4f4e\u4e2a\u4eba\u8bc1\u660e\u6807\u51c6<\/h2>\n<p>\u6211\u7684\u5224\u65ad\u662f\uff0c\u516c\u5f00\u56fd\u5bb6\u6050\u6016\u4e3b\u4e49\u5a01\u80c1\u7b49\u7ea7\u5e94\u5f53\u4fdd\u7559\u3002PROBABLE\u53ca\u5176\u201c\u672a\u676512\u4e2a\u6708\u3001\u5168\u56fd\u3001\u88ad\u51fb\u6216\u7b56\u5212\u3001\u8d85\u8fc750%\u201d\u7684\u5b9a\u4e49\uff0c\u4e3a\u653f\u5e9c\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u63d0\u4f9b\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u5171\u540c\u6001\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u7b49\u7ea7\u65c1\u5fc5\u987b\u6301\u7eed\u63d0\u4f9b\u975e\u673a\u5bc6\u53d9\u8ff0\u3001\u8d8b\u52bf\u548c\u5177\u4f53\u884c\u52a8\u5efa\u8bae\uff0c\u5e76\u5b9a\u671f\u590d\u6838\u3002\u5b83\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u9ad8\u673a\u6784\u51c6\u5907\u548c\u8d44\u6e90\u5173\u6ce8\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u81ea\u52a8\u89e6\u53d1\u9488\u5bf9\u4e2a\u4eba\u6216\u7fa4\u4f53\u7684\u5f3a\u5236\u63aa\u65bd\uff1b\u540e\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u6ee1\u8db3\u72ec\u7acb\u6cd5\u5f8b\u95e8\u69db\u548c\u76d1\u7763\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u8d85\u8fc750%\u201d\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u628a\u672a\u6765\u53d8\u6210\u5df2\u77e5\u4e8b\u5b9e\u3002\u5b83\u8981\u6c42\u56fd\u5bb6\u66f4\u8ba4\u771f\u51c6\u5907\uff0c\u4e5f\u8981\u6c42\u56fd\u5bb6\u66f4\u8ba4\u771f\u9650\u5236\u81ea\u5df1\uff1a\u4e0d\u628a\u96c6\u4f53\u6982\u7387\u9519\u8bef\u5730\u6295\u5c04\u5230\u4e2a\u4eba\uff0c\u4e0d\u8ba9\u6682\u65f6\u8b66\u62a5\u6210\u4e3a\u6ca1\u6709\u9000\u51fa\u6761\u4ef6\u7684\u6c38\u4e45\u6743\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u4e3b\u8981\u8d44\u6599<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.asio.gov.au\/national-terrorism-threat-level-2024\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ASIO\uff1aNational Terrorism Threat Level\u20145 August 2024<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nationalsecurity.gov.au\/national-threat-level\/current-national-terrorism-threat-level\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Australian National Security\uff1aCurrent National Terrorism Threat Level<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nationalsecurity.gov.au\/what-australia-is-doing\/a-national-approach\/australias-counter-terrorism-strategies\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Australian Government\uff1aA Safer Australia\u2014Counter-Terrorism and Violent Extremism Strategy<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/minister.homeaffairs.gov.au\/TonyBurke\/Pages\/press-conference-canberra-06052026.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Minister for Home Affairs\uff1aPress conference, 6 May 2026<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":17897162,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":true,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_geoff_meta_description_en":"","_geoff_meta_description_zh":"","_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[787296282],"tags":[787296285,787296325,787296326,787296283,787296032,787296327,787296328,787296033],"class_list":["post-16739","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-things-that-have-not-happened-yet","tag-things-that-have-not-happened-yet-zh","tag-national-terrorism-threat-level","tag-security-risk-assessment","tag-things-that-have-not-happened-yet","tag-when-numbers-start-making-decisions","tag-national-terrorism-threat-level-zh","tag-security-risk-assessment-zh","tag-when-numbers-start-making-decisions-zh",""],"translatepress_titles":{"en_AU":"When 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