{"id":16733,"date":"2026-09-15T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-09-14T23:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/?p=16733"},"modified":"2026-09-15T09:00:00","modified_gmt":"2026-09-14T23:00:00","slug":"electricity-0-002-percent-unserved-energy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/electricity-0-002-percent-unserved-energy\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7535\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u5141\u8bb80.002%\u7684\u7535\u6ca1\u6709\u88ab\u4f9b\u4e0a\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<\/p>\n<p><em>\u300a\u5f53\u6570\u5b57\u5f00\u59cb\u505a\u51b3\u5b9a\u300b\u00b7 \u7b2c\u4e94\u5b63\u201c\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u4e8b\u201d\u00b7 \u7b2c\u4e94\u7bc7<\/em><\/p>\n<h2>\u4e00\u3001\u53ef\u9760\u5e76\u4e0d\u7b49\u4e8e\u6c38\u4e0d\u7f3a\u7535<\/h2>\n<p>\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9aNational Electricity Market\uff08NEM\uff09\u7684\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u6807\u51c6\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5199\u6210\u201c\u6bcf\u4e00\u5ea6\u7535\u90fd\u5fc5\u987b\u5728\u4efb\u4f55\u60c5\u5f62\u4e0b\u4f9b\u5e94\u201d\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/energy-rules.aemc.gov.au\/ner\/728\/722925\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">National Electricity Rules\u7b2c3.9.3C\u6761<\/a>\u89c4\u5b9a\uff0c\u53d1\u7535\u548c\u8de8\u533a\u8f93\u7535\u90e8\u5206\u7684expected unserved energy\uff08USE\uff09\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u5730\u533a\u3001\u4e00\u4e2a\u8d22\u653f\u5e74\u5ea6\u5185\u6700\u591a\u4e3a\u603b\u9700\u6c42\u76840.002%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8bbe\u60f3AEMO\u7684\u4e00\u6b21\u5e74\u5ea6\u5c55\u671b\u5728\u5176\u4ed6\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0d\u53d8\u65f6\uff0c\u628a\u67d0\u5730\u533a\u9884\u8ba1USE\u4ece0.0019%\u66f4\u65b0\u4e3a0.0021%\u3002\u8de8\u7ebf\u4e0d\u4f1a\u8ba9\u7cfb\u7edf\u81ea\u52a8\u62c9\u95f8\uff0c\u5374\u4f1a\u628a\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u4ece\u201c\u9884\u8ba1\u8fbe\u5230\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u6807\u51c6\u201d\u8f6c\u4e3a\u201c\u9884\u8ba1\u672a\u8fbe\u5230\u201d\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u5e02\u573a\u54cd\u5e94\uff0c\u5e76\u53ef\u80fd\u4f7f\u5408\u7ea6\u3001\u50a8\u5907\u6216\u5176\u4ed6\u5e72\u9884\u8fdb\u5165\u8ba8\u8bba\u3002\u4e24\u4e2a\u5c0f\u6570\u70b9\u540e\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u6539\u53d8\u7684\u662f\u4eca\u5929\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u5bb9\u91cf\u7684\u627f\u8bfa\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u516c\u5f00\u627f\u8ba4\uff1a\u4e3a\u4e86\u4fdd\u8bc1\u7edd\u5bf9\u96f6\u77ed\u7f3a\u800c\u5efa\u8bbe\u65e0\u9650\u5907\u7528\u5bb9\u91cf\uff0c\u6210\u672c\u53ef\u80fd\u9ad8\u5230\u4e0d\u5408\u7406\u3002AEMC\u7684\u89e3\u91ca\u628a\u5f53\u524d0.002%\u6298\u7b97\u6210\u957f\u671f\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf\u4f4d\u7528\u6237\u6bcf\u5e74\u5927\u7ea610\u5206\u949f\u7684\u53d1\u7535\u77ed\u7f3a\u578b\u4e2d\u65ad\u3002\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e0d\u662f\u6bcf\u4e2a\u5bb6\u5ead\u83b7\u914d\u5341\u5206\u949f\u505c\u7535\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u662f\u7cfb\u7edf\u6bcf\u5e74\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u5b8c\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u201c\u505c\u7535\u989d\u5ea6\u201d\u3002\u5b83\u662f\u5730\u533a\u603b\u9700\u6c42\u4e2d\u9884\u8ba1\u65e0\u6cd5\u7531\u53d1\u7535\u548c\u8de8\u533a\u8f93\u7535\u6ee1\u8db3\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e00\u4e2a\u6781\u5c0f\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u7531\u6b64\u51b3\u5b9a\u672a\u6765\u9700\u8981\u591a\u5c11\u673a\u7ec4\u3001\u7535\u6c60\u3001\u9700\u6c42\u54cd\u5e94\u3001\u8de8\u533a\u7ebf\u8def\u548c\u50a8\u5907\u3002\u5b83\u6d4b\u91cf\u7684\u662f\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u7f3a\u7535\uff0c\u5e76\u5f71\u54cd\u4eca\u5929\u6570\u5341\u4ebf\u6fb3\u5143\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u4e8c\u3001USE\u53ea\u770b\u4e00\u7c7b\u505c\u7535<\/h2>\n<p>\u666e\u901a\u7528\u6237\u5bb6\u91cc\u65ad\u7535\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u6811\u6728\u538b\u65ad\u914d\u7535\u7ebf\u3001\u672c\u5730\u8bbe\u5907\u6545\u969c\u3001\u5c71\u706b\u3001\u98ce\u66b4\u6216\u7ef4\u4fee\u3002\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u6807\u51c6\u4e2d\u7684USE\u4e3b\u8981\u5904\u7406\u53d1\u7535\u3001\u9700\u6c42\u54cd\u5e94\u548c\u8de8\u533a\u8f93\u7535\u80fd\u529b\u4e0d\u8db3\u9020\u6210\u7684\u4f9b\u9700\u7f3a\u53e3\u3002<\/p>\n<p>AEMC\u57282026\u5e74\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u6807\u51c6\u5ba1\u67e5\u6750\u6599\u4e2d\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u7ea699%\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u505c\u7535\u6765\u81ea\u7f51\u7edc\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u53d1\u7535\u4e0d\u8db3\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e8b\u5b9e\u63ed\u793a\u4e86\u6307\u6807\u7684\u6743\u9650\uff1a0.002%\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u5374\u4e0d\u80fd\u63cf\u8ff0\u7528\u6237\u7ecf\u5386\u7684\u5168\u90e8\u201c\u53ef\u9760\u201d\u3002\u4e00\u4e2a\u5730\u533a\u8fbe\u5230USE\u6807\u51c6\uff0c\u67d0\u6761\u914d\u7535\u7ebf\u8def\u4e0a\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u4ecd\u53ef\u80fd\u9891\u7e41\u505c\u7535\uff1b\u53cd\u8fc7\u6765\uff0c\u4e00\u6b21\u98ce\u66b4\u9020\u6210\u5927\u8303\u56f4\u65ad\u7ebf\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5fc5\u7136\u8868\u793a\u53d1\u7535\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u6807\u51c6\u5931\u8d25\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u653f\u6cbb\u8ba8\u8bba\u628a\u4e24\u7c7b\u4e8b\u4ef6\u6df7\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\uff0c\u5c31\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u9519\u8bef\u5904\u65b9\u3002\u589e\u52a0\u53d1\u7535\u5bb9\u91cf\u4e0d\u80fd\u4fee\u590d\u5012\u4e0b\u7684\u7535\u6746\uff1b\u5f3a\u5316\u672c\u5730\u7f51\u7edc\u4e5f\u4e0d\u80fd\u72ec\u81ea\u89e3\u51b3\u5168\u5e02\u573a\u665a\u9ad8\u5cf0\u4f9b\u5e94\u4e0d\u8db3\u3002\u6307\u6807\u53ea\u6709\u5728\u5bf9\u8c61\u88ab\u51c6\u786e\u547d\u540d\u65f6\u624d\u6709\u51b3\u7b56\u4ef7\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u4e09\u30010.002%\u662f\u4e00\u9879\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0e\u4f26\u7406\u6298\u4e2d<\/h2>\n<p>\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u7cfb\u7edf\u901a\u5e38\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u591a\u5e73\u65f6\u5f88\u5c11\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u5bb9\u91cf\u3001\u71c3\u6599\u3001\u50a8\u80fd\u3001\u7ebf\u8def\u548c\u5408\u7ea6\u3002\u6210\u672c\u6700\u7ec8\u7531\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u3001\u7eb3\u7a0e\u4eba\u6216\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u627f\u62c5\u3002\u6807\u51c6\u56e0\u6b64\u5bfb\u627e\u4e00\u4e2a\u793e\u4f1a\u613f\u610f\u652f\u4ed8\u7684\u53ef\u9760\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u8ffd\u6c42\u6280\u672f\u4e0a\u60f3\u8c61\u7684\u7edd\u5bf9\u5b89\u5168\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u79cd\u6298\u4e2d\u9700\u8981\u4f30\u8ba1Value of Customer Reliability\uff1a\u4e0d\u540c\u7528\u6237\u907f\u514d\u4e00\u5ea6\u672a\u4f9b\u7535\u613f\u610f\u627f\u62c5\u591a\u5c11\u6210\u672c\u3002\u5bb6\u5ead\u3001\u533b\u9662\u3001\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u3001\u51b6\u70bc\u5382\u548c\u5c0f\u5546\u6237\u7684\u635f\u5931\u4e0d\u540c\uff1b\u77ed\u65f6\u4e2d\u65ad\u4e0e\u591a\u65e5\u4e2d\u65ad\u4e5f\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u628a\u5b83\u4eec\u805a\u5408\u6210\u5730\u533a\u5e74\u5ea6\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff0c\u4fbf\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u8bbe\u8ba1\uff0c\u5374\u4f1a\u538b\u4f4e\u5206\u5e03\u5dee\u5f02\u3002<\/p>\n<p>0.002%\u5e76\u975e\u81ea\u7136\u5e38\u6570\u3002\u5b83\u7531Reliability Panel\u5728\u89c4\u5219\u6846\u67b6\u5185\u5ba1\u67e5\uff0c\u6d89\u53ca\u6a21\u578b\u3001\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u503c\u548c\u653f\u7b56\u76ee\u6807\u30022026\u5e74\u7684\u6700\u7ec8\u5ba1\u67e5\u5efa\u8bae\uff0c\u4ece2028\u5e747\u6708\u8d77\u628a\u6807\u51c6\u8c03\u6574\u4e3a0.003% expected USE\uff0c\u7ea6\u7b49\u4e8e\u957f\u671f\u5e73\u574716\u5206\u949f\u53d1\u7535\u77ed\u7f3a\u578b\u4e2d\u65ad\uff1b\u622a\u81f3\u5199\u4f5c\u65f6\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6570\u5b57\u5e94\u7406\u89e3\u4e3a\u9762\u5411\u4e0b\u4e00\u76d1\u7ba1\u671f\u7684\u5efa\u8bae\u4e0e\u5236\u5ea6\u8fdb\u7a0b\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u63d0\u524d\u6539\u5199\u5f53\u524d\u89c4\u5219\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u95e8\u69db\u6539\u53d8\u610f\u5473\u7740\u793e\u4f1a\u91cd\u65b0\u5b89\u6392\u4e24\u7c7b\u9519\u8bef\uff1a\u5efa\u8bbe\u8fc7\u591a\u5907\u7528\u3001\u8ba9\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u652f\u4ed8\u66f4\u9ad8\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u6216\u5efa\u8bbe\u8fc7\u5c11\u3001\u5728\u5c11\u6570\u6781\u7aef\u65f6\u6bb5\u627f\u62c5\u66f4\u5927\u77ed\u7f3a\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u56db\u3001\u9884\u8ba1\u77ed\u7f3a\u600e\u6837\u89e6\u53d1\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u884c\u52a8<\/h2>\n<p>AEMO\u4f7f\u7528\u9700\u6c42\u3001\u673a\u7ec4\u9000\u5f79\u3001\u65b0\u5efa\u9879\u76ee\u3001\u71c3\u6599\u3001\u5929\u6c14\u3001\u8f93\u7535\u548c\u50a8\u80fd\u5047\u8bbe\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765USE\u3002\u82e5\u9884\u6d4b\u663e\u793a\u67d0\u5730\u533a\u53ef\u80fd\u8d85\u8fc7\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u6807\u51c6\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4f1a\u6536\u5230\u6295\u8d44\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u548c\u8fd0\u8425\u8005\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u8003\u8651\u5408\u7ea6\u3001\u50a8\u5907\u6216\u5176\u4ed6\u5e72\u9884\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u89c4\u5219\u4e2d\u8fd8\u67090.0006%\u7684interim reliability measure\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u66f4\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u8865\u5145\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u5173\u8054Retailer Reliability Obligation\u548c\u4e34\u65f6\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u50a8\u5907\u7b49\u5b89\u6392\uff0c\u5e76\u8ba1\u5212\u8fd0\u884c\u81f32028\u5e74\u524d\u540e\u7684\u8fc7\u6e21\u9636\u6bb5\u3002\u4e00\u4e2a\u5e02\u573a\u56e0\u6b64\u53ef\u80fd\u540c\u65f6\u5b58\u5728\u201c\u957f\u671f\u6548\u7387\u6807\u51c6\u201d\u548c\u201c\u5bf9\u5c3e\u90e8\u98ce\u9669\u66f4\u8c28\u614e\u7684\u4e34\u65f6\u89e6\u53d1\u7ebf\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e0d\u662f\u6570\u5b66\u91cd\u590d\u30020.002%\u5173\u6ce8\u957f\u671f\u5e73\u8861\uff0c0.0006%\u53cd\u6620\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u5728\u80fd\u6e90\u8f6c\u578b\u671f\u95f4\u5bf9\u4f4e\u6982\u7387\u3001\u9ad8\u5f71\u54cd\u77ed\u7f3a\u7684\u989d\u5916\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\u95ee\u9898\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u516c\u4f17\u82e5\u53ea\u770b\u5230\u4e24\u4e2a\u5c0f\u6570\uff0c\u5f88\u96be\u77e5\u9053\u54ea\u4e00\u4e2a\u51b3\u5b9a\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u8bbe\u7f6e\u3001\u54ea\u4e00\u4e2a\u89e6\u53d1\u96f6\u552e\u5546\u4e49\u52a1\u6216\u50a8\u5907\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6bcf\u6761\u7ebf\u90fd\u5e94\u5e26\u7740\u7528\u9014\u3002\u5426\u5219\u66f4\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u6570\u5b57\u5bb9\u6613\u88ab\u5ba3\u4f20\u4e3a\u201c\u66f4\u5b89\u5168\u201d\uff0c\u5374\u9690\u85cf\u6210\u672c\u548c\u9002\u7528\u8303\u56f4\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u4e94\u3001\u5e74\u5ea6\u5e73\u5747\u4f1a\u9690\u85cf\u5c3e\u90e8<\/h2>\n<p>\u4e24\u79cd\u672a\u6765\u53ef\u4ee5\u62e5\u6709\u76f8\u540cexpected USE\u3002\u7b2c\u4e00\u79cd\u662f\u8bb8\u591a\u5f88\u77ed\u3001\u5f71\u54cd\u6709\u9650\u7684\u7f3a\u53e3\uff1b\u7b2c\u4e8c\u79cd\u662f\u6781\u5c11\u53d1\u751f\u4f46\u4e00\u65e6\u53d1\u751f\u4fbf\u6301\u7eed\u8f83\u4e45\u7684\u5371\u673a\u3002\u603b\u671f\u671b\u503c\u76f8\u540c\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u627f\u53d7\u65b9\u5f0f\u5b8c\u5168\u4e0d\u540c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u968f\u7740\u98ce\u80fd\u3001\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u3001\u50a8\u80fd\u548c\u53d7\u5929\u6c14\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u8fde\u7eed\u9ad8\u6e29\u3001\u4f4e\u98ce\u3001\u8bbe\u5907\u6545\u969c\u548c\u71c3\u6599\u7ea6\u675f\u53ef\u80fd\u5171\u540c\u5f62\u6210\u5c3e\u90e8\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002AEMC\u548cReliability Panel\u56e0\u6b64\u8ba8\u8bba\u6807\u51c6\u5f62\u5f0f\u662f\u5426\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u6e05\u695a\u8868\u8fbe\u4e8b\u4ef6\u6301\u7eed\u65f6\u95f4\u3001\u9891\u7387\u548c\u6df1\u5ea6\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u53ea\u8c03\u65740.002\u7684\u5c0f\u6570\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u4f53\u73b0\u6d4b\u91cf\u6709\u6548\u6027\u95ee\u9898\uff1aUSE\u603b\u91cf\u53ef\u4ee5\u51c6\u786e\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u5374\u672a\u5fc5\u5b8c\u6574\u8868\u8fbe\u653f\u7b56\u771f\u6b63\u62c5\u5fc3\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u82e5\u628a\u4e00\u573a\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u77ed\u7f3a\u5e73\u5747\u5230\u5168\u5e74\uff0c\u6570\u5b57\u4f1a\u663e\u5f97\u6781\u5c0f\uff1b\u5bf9\u4f9d\u8d56\u533b\u7597\u8bbe\u5907\u6216\u65e0\u6cd5\u907f\u6691\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u5b9e\u9645\u540e\u679c\u5374\u4e0d\u5c0f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6807\u51c6\u8fd8\u5fc5\u987b\u8003\u8651\u5730\u533a\u5206\u914d\u3002\u5168\u5730\u533a\u5e73\u5747\u8fbe\u6807\u4e0d\u8868\u793a\u9ad8\u98ce\u9669\u7528\u6237\u83b7\u5f97\u540c\u7b49\u4fdd\u62a4\u3002\u533b\u9662\u901a\u8fc7\u5907\u7528\u7535\u6e90\u627f\u62c5\u90e8\u5206\u8d23\u4efb\uff0c\u5f31\u52bf\u5bb6\u5ead\u53ef\u80fd\u6ca1\u6709\u7c7b\u4f3c\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u7edf\u4e00\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u6807\u51c6\u9700\u8981\u4e0e\u5173\u952e\u8bbe\u65bd\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u4fdd\u969c\u63aa\u65bd\u5171\u540c\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u516d\u3001\u9884\u6d4b\u8bef\u5dee\u4e0e\u81ea\u6211\u6539\u53d8<\/h2>\n<p>\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u56f0\u96be\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u53d1\u5e03\u9884\u6d4b\u4f1a\u6539\u53d8\u9884\u6d4b\u5bf9\u8c61\u3002\u9884\u8ba1\u7f3a\u53e3\u53ef\u80fd\u5438\u5f15\u65b0\u7535\u6c60\u3001\u5ef6\u7f13\u673a\u7ec4\u9000\u5f79\u3001\u589e\u52a0\u9700\u6c42\u54cd\u5e94\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u7f3a\u53e3\u6ca1\u6709\u53d1\u751f\u3002\u82e5\u4eba\u4eec\u636e\u6b64\u8bf4\u201c\u9884\u6d4b\u5938\u5927\u4e86\u201d\uff0c\u4fbf\u5ffd\u7565\u9884\u8b66\u5df2\u7ecf\u4fc3\u6210\u884c\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u9879\u76ee\u5217\u8868\u4e2d\u7684\u7535\u7ad9\u6216\u7ebf\u8def\u53ef\u80fd\u5ef6\u671f\uff0c\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u4f4e\u4f30\uff0c\u9700\u6c42\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u5feb\u901f\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u4e00\u4e2a\u770b\u4f3c\u8fbe\u6807\u7684\u4e2d\u592e\u60c5\u5883\u4e0d\u7b49\u4e8e\u5c3e\u90e8\u5b89\u5168\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u56e0\u6b64\u62a5\u544a\u5e94\u533a\u5206\u5df2\u627f\u8bfa\u3001\u5728\u5efa\u4e0e\u4ec5\u5ba3\u5e03\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u5c55\u793a\u591a\u4e2a\u5929\u6c14\u5e74\u5ea6\u3001\u9000\u5f79\u4e0e\u5ef6\u8fdf\u60c5\u5883\uff0c\u5e76\u8bf4\u660e\u7ed3\u8bba\u5bf9\u54ea\u9879\u5047\u8bbe\u6700\u654f\u611f\u3002\u9884\u6d4b\u8d8a\u8fdc\uff0c\u884c\u52a8\u8d8a\u5e94\u5206\u9636\u6bb5\uff1a\u5148\u4fdd\u7559\u9009\u62e9\u3001\u7f29\u77ed\u5ba1\u67e5\u95f4\u9694\uff0c\u518d\u5728\u8bc1\u636e\u52a0\u5f3a\u65f6\u627f\u8bfa\u4e0d\u53ef\u9006\u6295\u8d44\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e8b\u540e\u590d\u6838\u4e5f\u4e0d\u80fd\u53ea\u95ee\u201c\u662f\u5426\u771f\u7684\u505c\u7535\u201d\u3002\u5e94\u68c0\u67e5\u5f53\u65f6\u9884\u6d4b\u3001\u5e02\u573a\u53cd\u5e94\u3001\u5e72\u9884\u6210\u672c\u548c\u672a\u53d1\u751f\u98ce\u9669\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u6210\u529f\u9884\u9632\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5929\u7136\u4e0d\u53ef\u89c1\uff0c\u5236\u5ea6\u9700\u8981\u4fdd\u5b58\u53cd\u4e8b\u5b9e\u8bc1\u636e\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u4e03\u3001\u8c01\u53ef\u4ee5\u7533\u8bc9\u4e00\u4e2a\u7cfb\u7edf\u6807\u51c6<\/h2>\n<p>\u4e2a\u4eba\u7528\u6237\u901a\u5e38\u4e0d\u80fd\u56e0\u5bb6\u91cc\u505c\u7535\u4fbf\u5bf90.002%\u6807\u51c6\u63d0\u51fa\u4e2a\u6848\u7533\u8bc9\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6807\u51c6\u4e0d\u662f\u96f6\u552e\u670d\u52a1\u4fdd\u8bc1\u3002\u4f46\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u3001\u884c\u4e1a\u548c\u5dde\u653f\u5e9c\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u89c4\u5219\u5ba1\u67e5\u3001\u516c\u5f00\u54a8\u8be2\u548c\u76d1\u7ba1\u7a0b\u5e8f\u8d28\u7591\u6807\u51c6\u3001\u8f93\u5165\u548c\u5e02\u573a\u8bbe\u7f6e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u900f\u660e\u5ea6\u6700\u4f4e\u8981\u6c42\u5305\u62ec\uff1aUSE\u5b9a\u4e49\u3001\u5730\u533a\u5206\u6bcd\u3001\u9884\u6d4b\u60c5\u5883\u3001\u9879\u76ee\u5047\u8bbe\u3001\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u5dee\u8ddd\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u4e0e\u89c4\u6a21\u3001\u9884\u8ba1\u5e72\u9884\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f51\u7edc\u505c\u7535\u4e0e\u53d1\u7535\u77ed\u7f3a\u7684\u533a\u5206\u3002\u82e5\u6807\u51c6\u6539\u53d8\uff0c\u8fd8\u5e94\u8bf4\u660e\u8c01\u8282\u7701\u6210\u672c\u3001\u8c01\u627f\u62c5\u65b0\u589e\u5c3e\u90e8\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5bf9\u5b9e\u9645\u53d7\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u4e2a\u4eba\uff0c\u8865\u6551\u5219\u5c5e\u4e8e\u96f6\u552e\u4fdd\u969c\u3001\u7f51\u7edc\u670d\u52a1\u6807\u51c6\u3001\u751f\u547d\u652f\u6301\u5ba2\u6237\u4fdd\u62a4\u548c\u707e\u5bb3\u54cd\u5e94\u7b49\u5176\u4ed6\u5236\u5ea6\u3002\u4e0d\u80fd\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b8f\u89c2\u5e02\u573a\u201c\u8fbe\u6807\u201d\u5c31\u5426\u5b9a\u5177\u4f53\u670d\u52a1\u5931\u8d25\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u516b\u3001\u7ef4\u6210\u8bba\uff1a\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u7531\u5141\u8bb8\u7684\u5931\u8d25\u6784\u6210<\/h2>\n<p>\u7535\u529b\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u53f0\u673a\u5668\u6c38\u4e45\u62e5\u6709\u7684\u5c5e\u6027\u3002\u5b83\u5728\u53d1\u7535\u3001\u7f51\u7edc\u3001\u5929\u6c14\u3001\u9700\u6c42\u3001\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u3001\u7528\u6237\u54cd\u5e94\u548c\u5e94\u6025\u50a8\u5907\u4e4b\u95f4\u7ef4\u6301\u30020.002%\u628a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5173\u7cfb\u538b\u6210\u4e00\u4e2a\u53ef\u6cbb\u7406\u63a5\u53e3\uff0c\u4f7f\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u4eba\u638c\u63e1\u672a\u6765\u5168\u90e8\u673a\u7ec4\u548c\u5929\u6c14\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u4ecd\u80fd\u6295\u8d44\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u79cdSustenesis\uff1a\u7ed3\u6784\u901a\u8fc7\u9884\u62a5\u3001\u4ef7\u683c\u3001\u5e72\u9884\u548c\u4fee\u6b63\u6301\u7eed\u5f62\u6210\u3002\u5b83\u4e5f\u63d0\u9192\u6211\u4eec\uff0c\u53ef\u9760\u7cfb\u7edf\u5e76\u975e\u6ca1\u6709\u5931\u8d25\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5bf9\u4f55\u79cd\u5931\u8d25\u53ef\u4ee5\u63a5\u53d7\u3001\u7531\u8c01\u627f\u62c5\u3001\u600e\u6837\u6062\u590d\u4f5c\u51fa\u53d7\u7ea6\u675f\u5b89\u6392\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Commitment as the Human Remainder\u8981\u6c42Reliability Panel\u548c\u653f\u5e9c\u516c\u5f00\u8bf4\u51fa\u6298\u4e2d\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u628a\u5b83\u63cf\u8ff0\u6210\u7eaf\u6280\u672f\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u6a21\u578b\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f30\u7b97\u671f\u671b\u7f3a\u53e3\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e00\u573a\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u77ed\u7f3a\u5bf9\u5f31\u52bf\u4eba\u7fa4\u662f\u5426\u53ef\u63a5\u53d7\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u7ed3\u8bba\uff1a\u5141\u8bb8\u6781\u5c0f\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u80fd\u8ba9\u5e73\u5747\u6570\u9690\u85cf\u707e\u96be\u5f62\u6001<\/h2>\n<p>\u6211\u7684\u5224\u65ad\u662f\uff0c\u4ee5expected USE\u8868\u8fbeNEM\u53d1\u7535\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u6807\u51c6\u5e94\u5f53\u4fdd\u7559\u30020.002%\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u6295\u8d44\u3001\u5e02\u573a\u8bbe\u7f6e\u4e0e\u5e72\u9884\u7684\u5171\u540c\u5c3a\u5ea6\uff0c\u8ffd\u6c42\u7edd\u5bf9\u96f6\u77ed\u7f3a\u65e2\u4e0d\u73b0\u5b9e\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u8ba9\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u627f\u62c5\u4e0d\u76f8\u79f0\u6210\u672c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u4e0b\u4e00\u9636\u6bb5\u4e0d\u80fd\u53ea\u4e89\u8bba0.002\u8fd8\u662f0.003\u3002\u6807\u51c6\u5fc5\u987b\u540c\u65f6\u5448\u73b0\u77ed\u7f3a\u6301\u7eed\u65f6\u95f4\u3001\u4e8b\u4ef6\u9891\u7387\u3001\u5c3e\u90e8\u60c5\u5883\u548c\u53d7\u5f71\u54cd\u7528\u6237\uff1b\u5e76\u59cb\u7ec8\u8bf4\u660e\u5b83\u4e0d\u6db5\u76d6\u7edd\u5927\u591a\u6570\u914d\u7535\u7f51\u7edc\u505c\u7535\u3002\u8fc7\u6e21\u60270.0006%\u63aa\u65bd\u4e5f\u5e94\u660e\u786e\u7528\u9014\u548c\u7ec8\u6b62\u6761\u4ef6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e00\u4e2a\u6210\u719f\u7535\u529b\u5236\u5ea6\u4e0d\u662f\u627f\u8bfa\u672a\u6765\u7edd\u4e0d\u5931\u8d25\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u8ba9\u53ef\u63a5\u53d7\u5931\u8d25\u7684\u5b9a\u4e49\u516c\u5f00\u3001\u8ba9\u9ad8\u540e\u679c\u5c3e\u90e8\u4e0d\u88ab\u5e74\u5ea6\u5e73\u5747\u62b9\u5e73\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u9884\u6d4b\u53d8\u5316\u65f6\u4fdd\u7559\u53ca\u65f6\u4fee\u6b63\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u4e3b\u8981\u8d44\u6599<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/energy-rules.aemc.gov.au\/ner\/728\/722925\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">National Electricity Rules\uff1aclause 3.9.3C\u2014Reliability standard and interim reliability measure<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.aemc.gov.au\/market-reviews-advice\/review-interim-reliability-measure\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">AEMC\uff1aReview of the Interim Reliability Measure<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.aemc.gov.au\/news-centre\/media-releases\/reliability-panel-prioritises-stability-consumers-proposed-change-reliability-standard-2028-2032\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">AEMC\uff1a2026 Reliability Standard and Settings Review\u2014final recommendations<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.aemc.gov.au\/energy-system\/electricity\/electricity-system\/reliability\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">AEMC\uff1aReliability in the National Electricity Market<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":17897162,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":true,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_geoff_meta_description_en":"","_geoff_meta_description_zh":"","_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[787296282],"tags":[787296304,787296303,787296285,787296283,787296301,787296032,787296033,787296302],"class_list":["post-16733","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-things-that-have-not-happened-yet","tag-electricity-reliability-zh","tag-electricity-reliability","tag-things-that-have-not-happened-yet-zh","tag-things-that-have-not-happened-yet","tag-unserved-energy","tag-when-numbers-start-making-decisions","tag-when-numbers-start-making-decisions-zh","tag-unserved-energy-zh",""],"translatepress_titles":{"en_AU":"Why Does the Electricity System Allow 0.002% of Energy to Go Unserved?","zh_CN":"\u7535\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u5141\u8bb80.002%\u7684\u7535\u6ca1\u6709\u88ab\u4f9b\u4e0a\uff1f"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p1ar9H-4lT","jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16733","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/17897162"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16733"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16733\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":20036,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16733\/revisions\/20036"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16733"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16733"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16733"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}