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href=\"https:\/\/www.iwm.org.uk\/history\/what-you-need-to-know-about-pre-first-world-war-alliances\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u5e1d\u56fd\u6218\u4e89\u535a\u7269\u9986\uff1a\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u6218\u524d\u7684\u6b27\u6d32\u8054\u76df<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/encyclopedia.1914-1918-online.net\/article\/alliance-system-1914\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u6218\u56fd\u9645\u767e\u79d1\uff1a1914\u5e74\u8054\u76df\u4f53\u7cfb<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/encyclopedia.1914-1918-online.net\/article\/arms-race-prior-to-1914-armament-policy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u6218\u56fd\u9645\u767e\u79d1\uff1a1914\u5e74\u524d\u519b\u5907\u7ade\u8d5b<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb\u672c\u7cfb\u5217\uff1a<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/geoffreychen.com\/zh\/category\/readings\/modern-european-history\/\">\u300a\u73b0\u4ee3\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u5f62\u6210\uff1a19\u4e16\u7eaa\u6b27\u6d32\u53f230\u8bb2\u300b\u5168\u90e8\u6587\u7ae0<\/a><\/p>\n<p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":17897162,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_geoff_meta_description_en":"Argues WWI was not mechanically inevitable: alliances and arms races heightened risk, but the outbreak depended on July 1914 leaders\u2019 sequential choices.","_geoff_meta_description_zh":"\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e00\u6218\u5e76\u975e\u201c\u81ea\u52a8\u5fc5\u7136\u201d\uff1a\u8054\u76df\u4e0e\u519b\u5907\u7ade\u8d5b\u5236\u9020\u4e86\u66f4\u9ad8\u98ce\u9669\u4e0e\u65f6\u95f4\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u4f46\u771f\u6b63\u7206\u53d1\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e1914\u5e747\u6708\u5404\u56fd\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u51b3\u7b56\u987a\u5e8f\u3002","_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_hide_featured_image":false,"_jetpack_featured_image_duplicate_dismissed":0,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[787295355],"tags":[787295502,787295505,787295357,787295506,787294631,787295356,787295507,787295358],"class_list":["post-16143","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-modern-european-history","tag-alliance-system","tag-arms-race","tag-making-of-the-modern-world-zh","tag-alliance-system-zh","tag-intellectual-history","tag-making-of-the-modern-world","tag-arms-race-zh","tag-intellectual-history-zh",""],"translatepress_titles":{"en_AU":"Did 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